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Bond Market Not Agreeing with the Fed?

The U.S. mortgage rate as of February 27, 2008With Bernanke’s comments on the current condition of the US economy and hints of another rate cut, the bond market does not seem to agree with the Fed.  Just about a month ago, the 10-year note was hitting 3.5% which brought the 30-year mortgage rate down to 5.4%.  After the Fed’s aggressive rate cut by 125 points, the bond market price has been falling.  The 10-year note is now pushing towards 4%, and the 30-year mortgage rate is standing at 6.10%.

The U.S. 10-year note chart as of February 27, 2008

The U.S. mortgage rate as of February 27, 2008

EUR/JPY 30/30

February: -60

Cumulative Results (Since 10/01/07): +390

EUR/JPY 30/30

Previous Hi/Lo

Buy/Sell

Price

Profit

Stop Loss

160.07

Buy

160.12

160.42

159.82

159.77

Sell

159.72

159.42

160.02

Is Recession Here?

This is a question everyone’s asking.  We are seeing more layoffs.  Companies are cutting back IT spending and travel budgets.  Are we really facing a full-scale recession?

Saxo Bank’s Head of Strategy, David Karsbøl, believes recession is already upon us.  He used 13 key indicators to gauge the economy.  Here’s why.

EUR/GBP 7/17

Result from 2/20 trade:  +7

EUR/GBP 7/17 A Special Trade

Previous Hi/Lo

Buy/Sell

Price

Profit

Stop Loss

 

Sell

.7578

.7571

.7595

EUR/JPY 30/30

February: -30

Cumulative Results (Since 10/01/07): +420

EUR/JPY 30/30

Previous Hi/Lo

Buy/Sell

Price

Profit

Stop Loss

158.43

Buy

158.48

158.78

158.18

158.15

Sell

158.10

157.80

158.40